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CPI report

Outlook 10/12: U.S. stock futures showed only a modest reaction to the CPI report but still mostly positive while Treasury yields came off previous lows, with longer-duration notes little changed. The consumer price index, a closely followed inflation gauge, increased 0.4% on the month and 3.7% from a year ago, according to a Labor Department report Thursday. That compared to respective estimates of 0.3% and 3.6%. Excluding volatile food and energy, core CPI increased 0.3% on the month and 4.1% on a 12-month basis, both exactly in line with expectations. Policymakers place more weight on the core numbers as they tend to be better predictors of long-term trends.

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4410 YPOC 4395 YVAL 4390 GAP 4417.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight, after CPI, looks more balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YVAH 4410 with bullish internals, buy towards GAP 4417 YHOD 4420 ONH 4430  and HVE-GAP-PBT 4445.

B) If market moves below YVAH 4410 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 4407 YVAL 4390 HVE 4385 YLOD 4377 and HVE 4364. 

Note: If market opens above value and it begins to trade within value, Value Area Rule VAR comes into play. 

Market Movers

10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Fed's Bostic Speech
1:00 PM 30-Year Bond Auction
2:00 PM Treasury Statement
4:00 PM Fed's Collins Speech
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 

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