Price Index

Outlook 04/30: U.S. stock futures ticked lower overnight, dipping 0.6%, as investors continue to digest the latest downpour of earnings and economic data. The PCE price index for March increased 0.5% month-over-month and 2.3% on a year-over-year basis. The inflation numbers apparently weren’t as high as feared as the 10-year yield remained flat after the numbers were released. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters that the central bank would need to see inflation sustained about 2% “for some time” before it moved to rein in its supportive asset purchases and near-zero interest rates

/ESM21: YVAH 4209 YPOC 4204 YVAL 4187 GAP 4200

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 4241), but overnight looks more bearish, moving below yesterday's value, so these are the initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4188 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH-GAP 4201.50 and PBTs 4222-4241.

B) If market moves below HVE 4188 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 4174.25 HVE 4164 and GAP 4179.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction relative to overnight inventory; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. 

Market Movers

9:45 Fed's Kaplan Speech
9:45 Chicago PMI
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
3:00 PM Farm Prices

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