Quad Witching

Outlook 06/18: U.S. stock futures  fell on Friday as St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard said on CNBC that it was natural for the Fed to tilt a little “hawkish” this week and that the first rate increase from the central bank would likely come in 2022. The decline in stocks came as the Fed’s actions caused a drastic flattening of the so-called Treasury yield curve where the yields of shorter-duration Treasurys, like the 2-year note, rose, while longer duration yields, such as the benchmark 10-year, fell. The retreat in long-dated bonds reflects less optimism toward economic growth, while the jump in short-end yields shows the expectations of the Fed raising rates.

/ESU21: YVAH 4220 YPOC 4213 YVAL 4203 GAP 4213.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight looks more bearish, moving below yesterday's value so these are the initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4188 with bullish internals, buy towards  YVAL 4203 GAP-YPOC 4213 and YVAH-ONH 4220.

B) If market moves below HVE 4188 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 4173.50 HVE 4163 GAP 4157 and HVE 4140.

Note: Today is the quarterly “quadruple witching” where options and futures on indexes and equities expire. Many expect trading to be more volatile in light of this event.

Market Movers

1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

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