Strong ADP

Outlook 01/05: U.S. stocks futures fell Thursday after private payroll data showed the labor market is still strong amid the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes to tame inflation. U.S. stock futures fell after the ADP private payrolls report showed that employers added 235,000 jobs in December, well above economist estimates. Wages also increased more than anticipated, another sign that the labor market remains hot. This is what the Fed keeps harping on and why they want to keep hiking rates and to leave them elevated all year. On Friday, investors will review the December jobs report for updated data on employment and hourly wages. Since the report could have a big impact on the Fed’s next moves, it has the potential to impact the market. Investors don’t want to see big gains in wage growth, which could signal higher inflation.

/ESH23 (Mar 2023): YVAH 3876 YPOC 3864 YVAL 3850 GAP 3872.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, and overnight continues on that way, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market remains above YVAL 3850 with bullish internals, buy towards GAP 3872 YVAH 3876 ONH 3885 and YHOD 3896.

B) If market moves below YVAL 3850 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 3845 HVE 3842 YLOD 3836 and HVE 3821.

Note: Overnight inventory is balanced, so expect an neutral open. Don't be 'too anxious'. Let the market lead. You don’t have to be the first. Bad trades occur when you try to force things to happen.
 
Market Movers

9:45 PMI Composite Final
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:20 PM Fed's Bullard Speech
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

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