After FOMC

Outlook 09/21: U.S. stock futures fall Thursday, deepening losses for the week, as Treasury yields climbed to multi-year highs investors amid the Federal Reserve’s plan to keep interest rates at higher levels for longer. The Federal Reserve said it would leave interest rates unchanged, but forecast another rate hike before the end of the year. The central bank also indicated fewer rate cuts next year, essentially saying it would need to keep rates higher for longer because stubborn inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell commented after the decision that a soft landing for the economy was still possible, but not his baseline scenario. 

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4507 YPOC 4500 YVAL 4477 GAP 4444.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bearish, and overnight continues on that way, moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4406 with bullish internals, buy towards HVE 4425-32 and YLOD-ONL-GAP 4444-47.

B) If market moves below HVE 4406 with bearish internals, sell towards HVEs 4385-4364-4345 and PBT-HVE 4330.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Today is the real reaction to yesterday news, and Tomorrow is when we have confirmation of the next trend.

Market Movers

10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:00 Leading Indicators
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 

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