PPI data

Outlook 09/14: U.S. stock futures climbed Thursday morning as traders digested a batch of economic reports. The August reading of the producer price index came in hotter than expected. It rose 0.7%, more than the 0.4% increase expected. That follows the August reading of the consumer price index. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, gained 0.3% from the prior month and 4.3% from 12 months earlier. That compares against estimates of 0.2% and 4.3%, respectively. The August CPI reading isn’t expected to change the Federal Reserve’s course at its policy meeting beginning Sept. 19. Fed funds futures pricing data shows a 97% likelihood of rates remaining unchanged next week.

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4527 YPOC 4514 YVAL 4512 GAP 4519.75

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, but overnight looks more bullish, moving above previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4545 with bullish internals, buy towards HVEs 4550-61-72 and GAP 4598.

B) If market moves below HVE 4545 with bearish internals, sell towards YHOD 4530 and GAP 4519.75

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. Market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, Value Area Rule VAR comes into play. 

REMINDER: We're in rollover week. I'm quoting /ESZ23. Pace of the Roll 75%. Usually rollover days show big divergences between Stocks vs. Futures, so try to play these days on defensive mode. 

Market Movers

10:00 Business Inventories
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 

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