Yields down

Outlook 10/10: U.S. stock futures are slightly higher Tuesday, boosted by a drop in Treasury yields as Wall Street assessed the geopolitical risks of a protracted conflict from the Israel-Hamas war. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was down about 9 basis points at 4.694%, as investors turned to the traditional safe haven amid the conflict. These movements reflect the bond market’s first reaction to the Israel-Hamas conflict as it was closed on Columbus Day. The decline in yields gave stock futures a lift, as markets remain concerned over the recent quick rise in interest rates. Investors may also be looking past the geopolitical risks caused by the conflict, helped by Friday’s stronger-than-expected September payrolls report and optimism ahead of a slew of third-quarter earnings this week.

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4376 YPOC 4369 YVAL 4327 GAP 4370.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight looks more balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YHOD-YVAH 4376 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 4381 HVE 4385 and HVE-PBT 4406.

B) If market moves below YHOD-YVAH 4376 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 4366 HVE 4364-4345 and YVAL 4327. 

Note: Market opens inside value. Don't be 'too anxious'. Let the market lead. You don’t have to be the first. Bad trades occur when you try to force things to happen. 

Market Movers

10:00 Wholesale Inventories
1:00 PM 3-Year Note Auction
1:30 PM Fed's Waller Speech
3:00 PM Fed's Kashkari Speech
6:00 PM Fed's Daly Speech

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