Holiday Cheer

Outlook 12/19: U.S. stock futures rise slightly higher Tuesday as the market tried to extend its recent rally. Stocks have hit rally mode as of late, with last week’s indication of three likely interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024 providing another catalyst for the market. Signs of cooling inflation and a pullback in Treasury yields have also helped risk assets. A light week for economic data and earnings continues Tuesday with preliminary building permits data for November and housing starts. Earnings from FedEx are also on deck after the bell. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is also slated to speak.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4800 YPOC 4796 YVAL 4786 GAP 4789.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 4823), and overnight continues on that way, moving above previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YVAH 4800 with bullish internals, buy towards YHOD 4802 ONH 4804 ATH 4809 and PBTs 4823-27.

B) If market moves below YVAH 4800 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 4789.25 YVAL 4786 and YLOD-GAP-HVE 4770.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. If market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

12:30 PM Fed’s Bostic
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital
6:00 PM Fed’s Goolsbee's Speech 

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