Jobs Report

Outlook 02/01: U.S. stock futures fall after December’s jobs report showed employers added 216,000 jobs for the month while the unemployment rate held at 3.7%. Jobs report could challenge the market narrative of a substantially easier Fed. The belief that the Fed can start cutting is fueled by the view that inflation will continue to recede after peaking at a 41-year high in mid-2022. Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target but has been making steady progress lower since the increases began.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4910 YPOC 4884 YVAL 4875 GAP 4944.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight, after jobs report, looks more bearish, still moving above previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4937 with bullish internals, buy towards GAP 4944 YHOD 4963 and ATH-ON 4964.

B) If market moves below HVE 4937 with bearish internals, sell towards YVAH 4910 YPOC 4884 and YVAL 4875.

Note: FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Yesterday is the real reaction to FOMC news, and Today is when we have confirmation of the next trend.

Market Movers

10:00 Consumer Sentiment
10:00 Factory Orders
1:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count 

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