Back to CPI

Outlook 05/29: U.S. stock futures slid on Wednesday, as rising Treasury yields once again pressured the broader market while artificial intelligence darling Nvidia kept climbing in premarket trading, extending gains since its earnings last week. Over the three trading days after the report was released, Nvidia surged roughly 20%. This move lower in futures comes as the 10-year Treasury note yield ticked higher for a second day, last trading above 4.57%. On Tuesday, the benchmark yield popped above 4.5%, a troublesome level for stock investor. Traders have lowered their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a nearly 54% chance that rates will hold steady in September.

/ESM24 (JUN 2024): YVAH 5331 YPOC 5325 YVAL 5316 GAP 5322.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 5353), but overnight looks bearish (PBT 5263), moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 5288 with bullish internals, buy towards YLOD 5296 YVAL 5316 GAP 5322 and YVAH 5331 (VAR). 

B) If market remains below HVE 5288 with bearish internals, sell towards last CPI SoC-GAP 5270 HVE-PBT 5263 and HVE 5256.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bearish trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg. Index
11:00 Survey of Business Uncertainty
1:00 PM 7-Year Note Auction
1:45 PM Fed's Williams Speech
2:00 PM Fed's Beige Book

Follow Twitter updates using TweetDeck old version.
Follow news and listen to order flow at FinancialJuice.

Questions via private twitter direct message (RTH)