Jobs Report

Outlook 06/07: U.S. stock futures slide after better-than-expected jobs report. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 in May, above the 190,000 estimated and April’s 175,000. The unemployment rate increased to 4%. Investors hoped for signs of a weakening labor market, as evidence of a slowing economy may support interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. A slew of economic data earlier this weak pointed toward the economic weakness, but Friday’s job report signaled a still robust labor market could enforce a cautious road ahead for the central bank. The Fed will give its decision on rates next week after its June 11-12 policy meeting. Fed funds futures trading data suggests the central bank will most likely hold rates steady this time, but they imply a 55% chance that policymakers will ease in September.

/ESM24 (JUN 2024): YVAH 5369 YPOC 5363 YVAL 5359 GAP 5362.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight, after jobs report, looks bearish, moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YLOD 5345 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAL 5359 GAP-YPOC 5363 ON-ATH 5380 and PBT 5385.

B) If market moves below YLOD 5345 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 5329 HVE 5323 GAP 5304 and HVEs 5286-5257-5205.

Note: New record high has been printed overnight, so it's still pending to be revisited at regular trading hours. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play. It's Friday and traders who have made losses that week will likely take large risks to try and end the week with a profit. Try to be calm and focus on the market rather than thinking about your account.

Market Movers

10:00 Wholesale Inventories
12:00 PM Fed’s Cook Speech
1:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count
3:00 PM Consumer Credit 

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