Powell speech

Outlook 07/02: Stock futures fall Tuesday, putting the major averages on track to give back the gains seen in the previous session. Investors are deliberating whether the strong start to the year can continue in the back half of 2024. While megacap tech stocks continue to outperform, bearish market observers worry poor breadth could signal choppiness ahead. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday at 9:30 a.m. ET before a policy panel at the European Central Bank Forum. The central bank leader will be part of a panel discussion and will not be issuing prepared remarks beforehand. The May job openings and labor turnover report is also due out Tuesday. Markets will end trading early Wednesday, and close Thursday, for the Fourth of July holiday. On Friday, investors will get insight into the labor market with the Jobs report.

/ESU24 (SEP 2024): YVAH 5538 YPOC 5530 YVAL 5521 GAP 5532

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 5555), but overnight looks bearish (PBT 5490), moving a few ticks below previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 5511 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAL 5521 GAP 5532 ONH 5535 and YVAH 5538.

B) If market moves below HVE 5511 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 5503 PBT 5500 and HVE-PBT 5490.

Note:  Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bearish trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play. New record high has been printed overnight, so it's still pending to be revisited at RTH. 

Market Movers

09:30 AM Powell Speech
10:00 AM JOLTS

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