Month end

Outlook 09/30: Stock futures edge lower to kick off final session of a strong month and quarter. Monday marks the final trading day for September and the third quarter, which are both on track to conclude with gains despite some pain points. Markets had a rough start to what is historically the weakest month for the stock market, but rebounded as September went on with Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a super-sized half point. Month to date, the SP500 are now up 1.8%. Looking ahead, October has a troubling history for markets. It’s known as a time of extreme volatility with some of the bigger drawdowns occurring during the month. Still, investors are excited about equities into the final stretch of the year after their rallies thus far.

ESZ24 (DEC2024): YVAH 5808 YPOC 5798 YVAL 5788 GAP 5790

/ES Plan: Last session market closed bearish, and overnight continues on that way, moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market rmoves above YLOD 5782 with bullish internals, buy towards GAP 5790 YVAH 5808 YHOD 5821 and ATH-ON 5830 magnet. 

B) If market moves below YLOD 5782 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 5774 HVEs 5745-5722-5710 and GAP 5691 magnet.

Note: Note: Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play. It's Monday, usually the quietest days of the week. Many traders want to take their time analyzing the market, and usually, there are few economic releases. 

Market Movers

9:45 AM Chicago PMI
10:30 AM Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
1:00 PM Jerome Powell Speech

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