Back to Election

Outlook 11/15: Stock futures fall on Friday morning as the postelection rally wavered and the Federal Reserve signaled it was in no hurry to keep cutting interest rates. Markets took a leg down Thursday afternoon after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said during an event in Dallas that the central bank wasn’t “in a hurry” to cut interest rates. That comes after the Fed cut the borrowing cost last week. Markets have trimmed expectations for another cut at the Fed’s December policy meeting and are now assigning a roughly 62% probability of a quarter percentage point reduction, down from 82.5% before Powell’s remarks on Thursday. Retail sales data on Friday showed an increase of 0.4% in October, slightly better than the 0.3% forecast from economists. That caps a busy week for economic data that was punctuated by releases of closely watched inflation gauges focused on consumers and producers.

ESZ24 (DEC2024): YVAH 6006 YPOC 5994 YVAL 5972 GAP 5965

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bearish, and overnight continues on that way (PBT 5918), moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market remains above HVE 5930 with bullish internals, buy towards YLOD-GAP 5965 magnet  YVAL 5972 YVAH 6006 and YHOD 6025.

B) If market moves below HVE 5930 with bearish internals, sell towards PBT 5918 Trump SoC HVE 5893 HVE 5850 and GAP 5820 magnet.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bearish trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

10:00 AM Business Inventories
01:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count
01:15 PM Fed’s Williams Speech 

Follow Twitter updates using TweetDeck old version.
Follow news and listen to order flow at FinancialJuice.

Questions via private twitter direct message (RTH)