US-Russia tensions

Outlook 11/19: Stock futures fall Tuesday as geopolitical tensions weighed on market sentiment and Treasury yields rose as investors flocked to safe haven assets. These declines come after Russian President Vladimir Putin warned the U.S. on Tuesday that the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons had lowered. Under the new doctrine, Russia would consider using such weaponry if it or allies were met with “with the use of conventional weapons that created a critical threat to their sovereignty and (or) their territorial integrity.” The combination of Russia ratcheting up its war rhetoric and uncertainty about how the incoming U.S. presidential administration will respond, is a recipe for stock market volatility. The new stance comes after President Joe Biden allowed Ukraine to use U.S. weapons to strike inside Russia. Futures also took a leg lower on news that Ukraine hit a Russian border city with U.S.-made missiles.

ESZ24 (DEC2024): YVAH 5925 YPOC 5918 YVAL 5904 GAP 5918.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 5950), but overnight looks more bearish (PBT 5857), moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above YLOD 5886 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAL 5904 YPOC-GAP 5918 magnet and YVAH 5925.

B) If market moves below YLOD 5886 with bearish internals, sell towards HVE 5850 GAP 5820 magnet and PBT 5810 magnet.

Note: Overnight inventory is bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bearish trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

10:00 AM E-Commerce Retail Sales
11:00 AM Treasury Buyback Announcement
01:10 PM Fed's Schmid Speech 

Follow Twitter updates using TweetDeck old version.
Follow news and listen to order flow at FinancialJuice.

Questions via private twitter direct message (RTH)