After Walmart

Outlook 02/21: Stock futures are little changed after Thursday’s sell-off. Traders are coming off a losing session in which the SP500 lost 0.4% and retreated from its recent all-time highs, while the Nasdaq fell nearly 0.5%. Investors pointed to a smattering of reasons behind the market’s sell-off in addition to Walmart’s 6.5% dip, including lingering inflationary concerns and declines in shares of Palantir.  More broadly, fears about stubborn inflation have reemerged, and President Donald Trump’s threatened tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods and on all steel and aluminum imports loom. Friday’s economic data releases, which include the latest purchasing managers index readings and January’s existing home sales, will point equities in a direction to end the week.

ESH25 (MAR2025): YVAH 6133 YPOC 6118 YVAL 6107 GAP 6131

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish above value, and overnight looks balanced, still moving above previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market remains above YVAH 6133 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 6142 HVE 6150 and GAP 6154 magnet.

B) If market moves below YVAH 6133 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 6127 YPOC 6118 and YVAL 6107 magnet.

Note: If market opens above value and it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play. It's Friday and traders who have made losses that week will likely take large risks to try and end the week with a profit. Try to be calm and focus rather than thinking about your P/L account.

Market Movers

09:45 AM PMI Composite Final
10:00 AM Existing Home Sales
10:00 AM Consumer Sentiment
10:00 AM Quarterly Services Report
11:30 AM Fed’s Jefferson Speech
11:30 AM Fed's Daly Speech
01:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count 

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