Circular industry

Outlook 09/23: Stock futures little changed as investors monitor the risks of a stock market at all-time highs. Gains accelerated in the latter half of the trading session after Nvidia shares jumped nearly 4% higher on the back of an announcement from the chipmaker that it will invest $100 billion in OpenAI for the buildout of data centers. Questions remain on whether the AI trade can continue powering U.S. equities, particularly given the risks tied to elevated market valuations. Some analysts think the AI industry is becoming incredibly circular, investing in clients to sustain revenue, depending on each other's success. If NVDA has to provide the capital that becomes its revenues in order to maintain growth, the whole ecosystem may be unsustainable.

ESZ25 (DEC2025): YVAH 6757 YPOC 6751 YVAL 6725 GAP 6747

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 6800), but overnight looks balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above YPOC 6751 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards YVAH-YHOD 6757 and PBT 6800 magnet. 

B) If market moves below YPOC 6751 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards YVAL 6725 ONL 6744 and YLOD 6696.

Note: Market opens balanced. Don't be 'too anxious'. Market structure has vanished after OPEX so stay patient until new references emerge.

Market Movers

09:45 ET US S&P PMI Flash for September
09:50 ET Trump Speaks at UN Assembly
10:00 ET Fed’s Bostic Q&A expected
12:35 ET Fed’s Powell Q&A expected
13:00 ET US to sell $69 bln 2-Year Notes

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