PCE index

Outlook 02/29: U.S. stock futures tick higher after a key inflation metric came in line with economists’ expectations. January’s personal consumption expenditures price index, excluding food and energy costs, increased 0.4% for the month and 2.8% from a year ago, as expected. PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Other key economic figures are due out, including Chicago purchasing managers index data for February and the pending home sales index for January. New York Fed President and CEO John Williams is also slated to moderate a discussion in the evening.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 5082 YPOC 5077 YVAL 5071 GAP 5071.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bearish, but overnight, after PCE, looks bullish, moving above value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YHOD 5091 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 5100 HVE 5110 and ATH-RTH 5123.

B) If market moves below YHOD 5091 with bearish internals, sell towards YVAH 5082 YVAL-GAP 5071 and ONL 5060.

Note: Market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

9:45 Chicago PMI
10:00 Pending Home Sales
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
10:50 Fed's Bostic
11:00 Fed's Goolsbee
11:00 Kansas Fed Survey
1:15 PM Fed's Mester
3:00 PM Farm Prices

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