Jobs Report

Outlook 12/06: Stock futures gain after better-than-expected jobs report. The November labor report, released on Friday morning, revealed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000 in November, above estimate of 214,000 and marking a huge hike from October’s gain of just 12,000. The unemployment rate nudged up to 4.2%, as expected. Following the not-too-hot, not-too-cold unemployment data, traders increased their bets on another rate cut in two weeks to 88%. Data this morning with payrolls spot on, revisions positive, but unemployment ticking higher despite the participation rate falling. This print doesn’t kill the holiday spirit and the Fed remains on track to deliver a cut in December. Given the continued strength of the U.S. economy, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has previously said that policymakers don’t need to be “in a hurry to lower rates”.

ESZ24 (DEC2024): YVAH 6100 YPOC 6096 YVAL 6092 GAP 6084

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bearish, but overnight, after NFP, looks bullish, still moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above YVAH 6100 with bullish internals, buy towards YHOD 6107 and PBTs 6110-6125 magnets.

B) If market moves below YVAH 6100 with bearish internals, sell towards YVAL 6092 and GAPs 6084-6068 magnets. 

Note: Market is near a long term target (6125) so we could see a rally towards that major level. Keep in mind that market needs an excess high to call a top and a potential major reversal.

Market Movers

10:00 AM Consumer Sentiment
10:30 AM Fed's Goolsbee Speech
11:00 AM Treasury Buyback Announcement
12:00 PM Fed's Hammack Speech
01:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count
01:00 PM Fed's Daly Speech
03:00 PM Consumer Credit 

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