FOMC Day

Outlook 11/01: U.S. stock futures are little changed Wednesday as Wall Street braced for the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision on interest rates after closing out a terrible month. Futures came off their lows after the Treasury detailed plans of the size of its future bond sales amid growing concerns of the U.S. government’s rising debt load. It appeared to be in-line with what traders were expecting. The Treasury will auction $112 billion in debt next week, largely matching what Wall Street was expecting. Private sector payrolls in October came in weaker than expected, the ADP said Wednesday. Companies added 113,000 workers last month, lower than the 130,000 expected. Those moves come as traders turn their eyes to Washington for the Fed’s latest policy announcement. Central bankers are largely expected to maintain rates steady, with fed funds futures pricing suggests a more than 99% probability that rates will remain at current levels.

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4205 YPOC 4190 YVAL 4172 GAP 4205.75

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, but overnight looks more balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4224 with bullish internals, buy towards HVE 4240-4261 and GAP 4274.

B) If market moves below HVE 4224 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP-YVAH 4205 and YVAL 4172. 

Note: FOMC days are two separate sessions. The AM session tends to involve a tightening price range and lower activity. Trade setups that work well in the AM, may fail completely in the afternoon, resulting in significant losses. Today is NOT the day to trade aggressively. On these high volatility days, your first trading rule is 'manage your risk'. 

Market Movers

9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending
10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
2:00 PM FOMC Announcement
2:30 PM Chairman Press Conference 

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