After FOMC

Outlook 11/02: U.S. stock futures rise as Treasury yields fall on bets the Fed is done raising rates. The Fed on Wednesday kept interest rates unchanged again and upgraded its assessment of the U.S. economy. To be sure, Chair Jerome Powell would not rule out a rate increase at the December meeting. Investors digested further signs of softening inflation and easing in the labor market Thursday morning. Labor costs fell by 0.8% in the third quarter compared to expectations for a 0.7%. Weekly jobless claims on Thursday ticked higher to 217,000 for week ending Oct. 28, more than the 210,000 in the previous week and the 214,000 estimated. On the economic front, closely watched statistics on nonfarm payrolls, the unemployment rate and hourly wages are slated for release on Friday morning.

/ESZ23 (Dec 2023): YVAH 4250 YPOC 4232 YVAL 4210 GAP 4255.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, and overnight continues on that way, moving above previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4285 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 4298 and HVEs 4300-4313-4327.

B) If market moves below HVE 4285 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL-GAP-YVAH 4257-4255-4250. 

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Today is the real reaction to yesterday news, and Tomorrow is when we have confirmation of the next trend.

Market Movers

10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
6:30 PM Fed's Kathleen's Speech 

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