New ATH

Outlook 12/27: U.S. stock futures are little changed as index nears new all-time high. Stocks are in the thick of the “Santa Claus rally,” a period comprised of the last five trading days of an ending year and first two of a new one. Market may be overly optimistic, especially if the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates later than traders anticipate. The market is pricing in a more than 70% probability of a decrease to interest rates at the central bank’s March meeting. Investors will watch on Wednesday for economic data on the manufacturing industry. 

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4830 YPOC 4825 YVAL 4815 GAP 4826

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 4850), but overnight looks balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YPOC 4825 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAH-ONH 4830 YHOD 4835 and PBT 4850.

B) If market moves below YPOC 4825 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 4821 YVAL 4815 HVE 4809 and GAP 4800.

Note: Holidays weeks so volume is lower than usual. If market opens inside value let the market lead. You don’t have to be the first. Bad trades occur when you try to force things to happen.

Market Movers

11:00 Survey of Business
11:30 2-Year FRN Auction
1:00 PM 5-Year Note Auction

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