Witching Day

Outlook 12/15: U.S. stock futures are little changed Friday as index heads for 7th positive week in a row. The S&P 500 could soon join the Dow with its own all-time high. The broad market index is less than 1.6% away from a record close set in January 2022. The Nasdaq is roughly 8% away from its highest-ever close, and about 9% from its all-time intraday high. Stocks rallied this week after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday admitted that its efforts to tamp down inflation are taking hold, and indicated three interest rate cuts are coming in 2024, buoying investor sentiment. The November retail sales data that came in stronger than expected on Thursday, following this week’s cooler inflation readings, added to hopes the Federal Reserve could navigate a soft landing.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4781 YPOC 4774 YVAL 4765 GAP 4770

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, and overnight continues on that way, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market remains above YVAH 4781 with bullish internals, buy towards YHOD 4792 ATH 4809 and PBT 4827.

B) If market moves below YVAH 4781 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 4770 YVAL 4765 and YLOD 4746.

Note: FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Yesterday was the real reaction to FOMC news, and Today is when we have confirmation of the next trend. But Today is Triple Witching, which refers to the day that options and futures from stocks indexes expire simultaneously, and generally produces heavy volumes that can boost liquidity. 

Market Movers

9:15 Industrial Production
9:45 PMI Composite Flash
1:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count 

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