After FOMC

Outlook 12/14: U.S. stock futures climb Thursday, boosted by a sharp decline in Treasury yields, after the Federal Reserve pointed to multiple rate cuts in 2024. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its key interest rate steady for the third straight time and set the table for multiple cuts to come in 2024 and beyond. With the inflation rate easing and the economy holding in, policymakers on the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%. Along with the decision to stay on hold, committee members penciled in at least three rate cuts in 2024, assuming quarter percentage point increments. That’s less than what the market had been pricing, but more aggressive than what officials had previously indicated.  

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4746 YPOC 4703 YVAL 4697 GAP 4763

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, and overnight continues on that way, moving above previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market remains above HVE 4790 with bullish internals, buy towards ATH 4809 and PBT 4827

B) If market moves below HVE 4790 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 4763 and YVAH 4746.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Today is the real reaction to yesterday news, and Tomorrow is when we have confirmation of the next trend.

Market Movers

10:00 Business Inventories
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 

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