Jobs Report

Outlook 01/05: U.S. stock futures are mixed on Thursday as market tried to find some traction following another tough session. Mega-cap tech stocks are under performing to start the year as overstretched valuations and uncertainty around when the Federal Reserve will begin to cut rates have investors worried that markets have gotten overly optimistic. ADP report release showed that jobs grew stronger than expected in December. Companies added 164,000 jobs for the month, higher than the 130,000 estimated. Total jobless claims also showed that the pace of layoffs decelerated for the week ended Dec. 30, a further sign of strength within the labor market.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4756 YPOC 4747 YVAL 4740 GAP 4728.75

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, and overnight, after jobs report, continues on that way, moving below previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4724 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 4736 YVAL 4740  and YVAH 4756.

B) If market moves below HVE 4724 with bearish internals, sell towards HVE 4709 ONL 4702 and HVE 4667.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

10:00 Factory Orders
10:00 ISM Services Index
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
1:30 PM Fed's Barkin Speech

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