PCE data

Outlook 01/26: U.S. stock futures gain after price index for December, an important gauge for the Federal Reserve, increased 0.2% on the month and was up 2.9% on a yearly basis, excluding food and energy. On a monthly basis, core inflation increased from 0.1% in November. However, the annual rate declined from 3.2%. Including volatile food and energy costs, headline inflation also rose 0.2% for the month and held steady at 2.6% annually. The release adds to evidence that inflation, while still elevated, is continuing to make progress lower, possibly giving the Fed a green light to start cutting interest rates later this year. The central bank targets 2% as a healthy annual inflation rate.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4922 YPOC 4917 YVAL 4907 GAP 4922

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 4940), and overnight, after GDP data, looks balanced, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YPOC 4917 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAH-GAP 4922 ONH 4929 and PBT 4940.

B) If market moves below YPOC 4917 with bearish internals, sell towards YVAL 4907 ONL 4898 and YLOD-GAP 4893.

Note: Market opens inside value so let the market lead. You don’t have to be the first. Bad trades occur when you try to force things to happen. It's Friday and traders who have made losses that week will likely take large risks to try and end the week with a profit. Try to be calm and focus on the market rather than thinking about your account.

Market Movers

10:00 Pending Home Sales
1:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count 

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