Rollover day

Outlook 03/12: U.S. stock futures tick higher after CPI report. Inflation rose again in February, keeping the Federal Reserve on course to wait at least until the summer before starting to lower interest rates. The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year ago. The monthly gain was in line with expectations, but the annual rate was slightly ahead of the 3.1% forecast. While the 12-month pace is off the inflation peak in mid-2022, it remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal as the central bank approaches its two-day policy meeting in a week.

/ESM24 (JUN 2024): YVAH 5189 YPOC 5181 YVAL 5172 GAP 5188

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish, and overnight continues on that way, moving above value and range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market remains above YHOD 5196 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 5208 and PBT 5225.

B) If market moves below YHOD 5196 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 5188 and YVAL 5172.

NoteRollover day. Pace of the Roll is around 60%. I start quoting /ESM24 (Jun 2024) due to June volume is higher than March volume. Usually rollover days show big divergences between Stocks vs. Futures, so try to play these days on defensive mode. Setups that usually work well, may fail completely. Market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

1:00 PM 10-Year Note Auction
2:00 PM Treasury Statement 

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