Rollover week

Outlook 03/11: U.S. stock futures fall Monday, on track to extend last week’s losses as investors geared up for fresh inflation data. Traders are preparing for February’s consumer and producer price indexes — which are set to release Tuesday and Thursday, respectively. These are among the last major economic reports before Federal Reserve leaders convene for their March policy meeting. Those releases come after Friday’s February jobs report, which gave investors mixed signals as to when exactly the Fed will begin cutting interest rates. While the U.S. economy added more jobs than economists anticipated, the central bank could start easing up on monetary policy.

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 5179 YPOC 5153 YVAL 5133 GAP 5133.50

/ES Plan: Last session market closed bearish, and overnight continues on that way, moving below value and range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YLOD 5122 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAL-GAP 5133 and YVAH 5179. 

B) If market remains below YLOD 5122 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL 5103 and HVE 5070.

NoteRollover begins. Pace of the Roll is around 45%. I'm still quoting /ESH24 (Mar 2024) until /ESM24 (Jun 2024) volume is higher at the open than March volume. Usually rollover days show big divergences between Stocks vs. Futures, so try to play these days on defensive mode. Setups that usually work well, may fail completely. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

11:30AM 3-6 Wk Bill Auction
1:00 PM 3-Year Note Auction 

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