After FOMC

Outlook 05/02: U.S. stock futures advance Thursday as investors looked ahead to more corporate earnings and a key labor report set for later in the week. Markets reacted to the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. In the closely-watched press conference, Fed Chair Powell essentially ruled out an interest rate hike as the central bank’s next move, despite few recent signs of easing inflation. Powell’s emphasis on the next central bank move likely not being a hike. Traders still expect a rate cut won’t come until at least September. Thursday’s quarterly earnings reports are dominated by Apple after the close.

/ESM24 (JUN 2024): YVAH 5080 YPOC 5055 YVAL 5041 GAP 5050.50

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bearish (PBT 4982), but overnight bounced back, moving around previous value high, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above YVAH 5080 with bullish internals, buy towards ONH 5090 YHOD-HVE 5125 GAP 5148 PBT 5165 and HVE 5196.

B) If market moves below YVAH 5080 with bearish internals, sell towards HVE 5060 GAP 5050 YVAL-YLOD 5038 GAP 5004 and PBT 4982.

Note: If market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play. FOMC day always offer an overreaction, Today is the real reaction to yesterday news, and Tomorrow is when we have confirmation of the next trend.

Market Movers

10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 

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