FOMC begins

Outlook 06/11: U.S. stock futures slip as investors gear up for start of Fed policy meeting. Traders prepare for the two-day Fed policy meeting commencing Tuesday. The meeting will conclude on Wednesday with an interest rate policy decision and a subsequent press conference featuring Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. While investors are anxiously awaiting the policy announcement, they are largely pricing in that the borrowing rate remains unchanged. Fed funds futures were indicating virtually no chance of a cut at this week’s meeting. We’ve got two big events coming in the middle of this week: the CPI print on Wednesday morning and the Fed meeting on Wednesday afternoon.

/ESM24 (JUN 2024): YVAH 5374 YPOC 5366 YVAL 5352 GAP 5366.25

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 5393), but overnight looks bearish, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market remains above YVAL 5352 with bullish internals, buy towards YPOC-GAP 5366 YVAH-ONH 5374 ATH 5385 and PBT 5393.

B) If market moves below YVAL 5351 with bearish internals, sell towards ONL-HVE 5350 YLOD-HVE 5338 HVE 5323 and GAP 5304.

Note: Rollover begins. Pace of the Roll is around 10%. I'm still quoting /ESM24 (Jun 2024) until /ESU24 (Sep 2024) volume is higher at the open than June volume. Usually rollover days show big divergences between Stocks vs. Futures. Setups that usually work well, may fail completely. 

Market Movers

FOMC meeting begins
10:00 Quarterly Services Report
1:00 PM 10-Year Note Auction 

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