Bye Bye 2024

Outlook 12/31: Stock futures tick higher with SP500 set to close out second year in a row with 20% gain, driven by enthusiasm for rate cuts, economic strength and artificial intelligence. Despite the strong year-to-date performance, we're entering the final day of the year on sour note as market has lost some of its momentum in recent sessions. December has been a weak stretch for equities as investors take profits in some of 2024′s biggest winners and fears mount over rising rates into year-end. The SP500 is down 2.1% and headed for its worst month since April. The loss in momentum has also dashed investor hopes for a Santa Claus rally. Instead, the SP500 has dropped at least 1% during each of the past two trading days. The market is closed on Wednesday for New Year’s Day.

ESH25 (MAR2025): YVAH 5990 YPOC 5980 YVAL 5940 GAP 5955

/ES Plan: Last session market closed balanced, but overnight looks more bullish (PBT 6010), moving within previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above HVE 5964 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAH 5990 HVE 5995 and GAP 6030 magnet.

B) If market moves below HVE 5964 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 5955 YVAL 5940 HVE 5932 and YLOD 5918.

Note: It's a holiday week. The institutions aren’t really trading. Volume will be lower than usual but "Santa Rally" is still in play.

Market Movers

9:00 AM Case-Shiller Home Price Index
9:00 AM FHFA House Price Index
2:00 PM Early U.S. Bonds Close
3:00 PM Farm Prices

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