Welcome 2025!

Outlook 01/02: Stock futures higher on Thursday as trading got underway for 2025, with hopes that the market can regain the momentum that propelled the SP500 to log two-straight years of annual gains above 20%. It will be difficult for a “Santa Claus rally” to materialize. That well-known market indicator is usually characterized by rising stocks in the five final days of a calendar year and the first two trading days of January. The holiday-shortened week has been light on economic data, but a jobless claims report on Thursday showed both initial and continuing unemployment claims falling week over week.

ESH25 (MAR2025): YVAH 5957 YPOC 5939 YVAL 5922 GAP 5938

/ES Plan: Last session market closed bearish, but overnight looks more bullish (PBT 6023), moving above previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market remains above HVE 5964 with bullish internals, buy towards YHOD 5983 HVE 5995 and GAP 6030 magnet.

B) If market moves below HVE 5964 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 5938 YVAL 5922 YLOD 5917 and PBT 5894 magnet.

Note: It's a holiday week. The institutions aren’t really trading. Volume will be lower than usual but "Santa Rally" is still in play.

Market Movers

9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

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