De-escalation

Outlook 05/27: Stock futures jump Tuesday after President Trump said over the holiday weekend that he agreed to delay tariffs of 50% on the European Union. Trump on Sunday said that he would push back the 50% levy deadline on the EU to July 9 following a request from Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission. That comes after Trump last week proposed an import tax of 50% on the EU beginning June 1. Traders will follow earnings from companies such as Nvidia, Macy’s and Costco later in the week. More than 95% of SP500 companies have reported and almost 78% have surpassed analyst expectations

ESM25 (JUN2025): YVAH 5836 YPOC 5810 YVAL 5791 GAP 5817

/ES Plan: Last session market closed balanced, but overnight, after Trump de-escalation, looks more bullish (PBT 5945), moving well above previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above HVE 5895 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards ONH 5812 HVEs 5917-5930-5945 and GAP 5973 magnet.

B) If market moves below HVE 5895 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards HVE 5876 ONL 5863 HVEs 5852-5831 and GAP 5817 magnet.

Note: After Memorial day holiday inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction. Failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bullish trend day. 

Market Movers

10:00 ET US Conference Board Consumer Confidence for May
11:30 ET US sells $76 bln 3-Month Bills and $68 bln 6-Month Bills
13:00 ET US sells $69 bln 2-Year Notes Auction

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