Sigh of relief

Outlook 05/12: Stock futures jump early Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to temporarily slash tariffs following negotiations over the weekend. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that talks with China had been “very productive” and both countries had agreed to cut “reciprocal” tariffs by 115% for 90 days. That brings U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods down to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on U.S. imports to 10%. Bessent said on Monday that he expects to meet once again with representatives from Beijing in the “next few weeks” to iron out a bigger agreement. Investors this week will look for signs on how the trade tensions are impacting the economy. The consumer price index reading for April is due Tuesday morning, while retail sales and the producer price index are set for release on Thursday.

ESM25 (JUN2025): YVAH 5691 YPOC 5671 YVAL 5681 GAP 5679

/ES Plan: Last session market closed bearish, but Sunday's reopening looks strong bullish (PBT 5935), moving well above previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market remains above HVE 5830 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards ONH 5865 HVEs 5875-94-5917 and PBT 5935 magnet.

B) If market moves below HVE 5830 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards HVE-SoC 5770 magnet ONL 5734 and YHOD  5715 magnet.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bullish. The expected action is a counter-auction. Failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bullish trend day. 

Market Movers

09:30 Trump Holds Presser with Health Sec.
10:25 Fed's Kugler Speaks
11:30 US 6-Month Bill High Yield
11:30 US 3-Month Bill High Yield
14:00 US Federal Budget Balance

Follow Twitter updates using TweetDeck old version.
Follow news and listen to order flow at FinancialJuice.

Questions via private twitter direct message (RTH)