ADP report

Outlook 06/04: Stock futures pared back gains on Wednesday after private sector hiring hit its lowest level in more than two years, raising concerns trade policy uncertainty could be weighing on the economy. A report from payrolls processing firm ADP showed that payrolls increased only 37,000 for the month, less than the downwardly revised 60,000 in April and below the consensus forecast of 110,000 that economists were expecting. The report casts a pall over Friday’s all-important government nonfarm payrolls report, which economists currently expect to show an increase of 125,000 jobs for May. President Donald Trump blasted Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell right after the ADP numbers came out, saying “Too Late Powell” should cut rates.

ESM25 (JUN2025): YVAH 5992 YPOC 5980 YVAL 5954 GAP 5978

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (PBT 6052), but overnight, after ADP report looks bimodal, moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above HVE 5975 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards ONH 5997 and PBT 6040-6052 magnets.

B) If market moves below HVE 5975 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards YVAL 5954 HVE 5930 and YLOD 5910

Note: Day after trend. Market opens in balance. Don't be 'too anxious'. You don’t have to be the first. Bad trades occur when you try to force things to happen. Remember that statistics say only 20% of days are trending, one day a week. That said, it's unlikely we'll see another trending day today.

Market Movers

10:00 ET US ISM Services PMI for May Forecast: 52
10:30 ET US Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories
15:00 ET Trump Signs Proclamations.

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