Trump Xi call

Outlook 06/05: Stock futures jump after Chinese state media says Trump and Xi held call. Moments ago China's state media Xinhua reported that the two world leaders had in fact just held a phone call, and engaged in discussions reflecting ongoing diplomatic communication amidst tensions. While we now await Trump to comment on his Truth Social account what all that was about, futures aren't waiting and spoos quickly spiked above 6,000, rising as high as 6016 and on the verge of pushing the SP500 into a bull market. Jobless claims last week came in at 247,000, an increase of 8,000 from the week before and more than the 236,000 expected. This comes one day after an estimate of private sector payrolls rose by just 37,000 in May, coming in sharply below forecast for 110,000 and raising investors worries about a softening job market and the impact on the economy.

ESM25 (JUN2025): YVAH 5997 YPOC 5994 YVAL 5984 GAP 5978

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, but overnight, after Trump-Xi call looks bullish, still moving within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above HVE 5994 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards ONH 6016 and PBT 6040-52 magnets.

B) If market moves below HVE 5994 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards YVAL 5984 and GAP 5978 magnet.

Note: Market opens in balance. Don't be 'too anxious'. You don’t have to be the first. Best setups fail in one key condition, choppy price inside value with no directional intent. This is where most traders force trades. In those cases, stay aside until market shows a clear direction. 

Market Movers

11:00 ET US Commerce Secretary Lutnick Testifies to the House Panel
11:30 ET Trump greets Germany’s Chancellor Merz at the White House
11:45 ET Trump & Germany’s Chancellor Merz Bilateral Meeting
12:00 ET Fed’s Kugler speaks. Text is expected, but no Q&A.
13:30 ET Fed’s Harker outlook. Text and Q&A are expected.
13:30 ET Fed’s Schmid speaks. Text and Q&A are expected.

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