Monday pause

Outlook 08/25: Stock futures fell slightly on Monday after Friday's rally. Stocks rallied after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s widely anticipated annual speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, during which he signaled the central bank could begin easing monetary policy next month. In the week ahead, traders are also looking forward to Friday’s July personal consumption expenditure price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Economists expect core PCE, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, will rise 2.9% on a year-over-year basis, compared to its 2.8% increase in June.

ESU25 (SEP2025): YVAH 6495 YPOC 6485 YVAL 6469 GAP 6485

/ES Plan: Last session market closed bullish (PBT 6525), but overnight looks bearish, moving a few ticks within previous value, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above YVAL-HVE 6469 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards YPOC-GAP 6485 and YVAH-VAR 6495. 

B) If market moves below YVAL-HVE 6469 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards HVE 6433 and GAP 63914 magnet.

Note: Overnight inventory is bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction. Failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential bearish trend day. Remember that new record high has been printed overnight, so it's still pending to be revisited at regular hours. UK holiday. London is closed so AM volume could be lower than usual. 

Market Movers

10:00 ET US New Home Sales 
11:30 ET US 3-6 Month Bills
10:00 ET Trump Signs Executive Orders
15:15 ET Fed’s Logan speaks

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