Jobs report

Outlook 09/05: Stock futures tick higher despite a weak August jobs report as traders bet the data would lead the Federal Reserve to cut rates later this month. The August jobs report saw the U.S. economy add 22,000 jobs on the month. That’s below the 75,000 expected. The unemployment also rose to 4.3%, in line with expectations. Traders are hoping the reading will lend support to the Fed’s case to go ahead with an expected rate cut at its September policy meeting. Fed funds futures trading suggests that benchmark interest rates will likely move a quarter percentage point lower when the central bank makes a decision on Sept.17. Not only that, traders put a half-point cut in play for mid-month following the payrolls data, per the FedWatch tool. That’s up from a zero chance of a super-sized cut the day before.

ESU25 (SEP2025): YVAH 6494 YPOC 6467 YVAL 6456 GAP 6515

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed bullish (above value) and overnight continues on that way, moving well above previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market remains above ON-VAH 6529 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards ATH-ON pending 6540 and PBT 6560 magnet.

B) If market moves below ON-VAH 6529 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards YHOD-GAP 6515 magnet and HVE-ONL 6500.

Note: Market opens above value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR setup comes in play. It's 'Capital Preservation Friday'. Try to be calm and focus rather than thinking about your P/L account. Fridays are rebalanced days for funds manager to open or close weekly time frames positions, so last half hour set big funds bias.

Market Movers

12:00 ET Trump in Ambassador Ceremony
14:00 ET Trump signs Executive Orders

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