PPI data

Outlook 07/15: Stock futures tick higher on Wednesday, led by gains in chipmakers, though gains were kept in check as tensions between Iran and the U.S. remained elevated. The produce price index dropped 0.3% in June. Economists expected the measure to be unchanged on the month. The probability of a rate hike at the central bank’s July meeting fell to 17% from 42% a day earlier, however, continue to price in an increase later this year, with traders assigning a 63% probability that rates will be a quarter or half-percentage point higher following the September meeting. Fed Chair Warsh speaks at 10am so be aware that the action will most likely be erratic and hard to predict this morning, same as the last two days.

ESU26 (Sep2026): YVAH 7597 YPOC 7589 YVAL 7573 GAP 7589

/ES Plan: Yesterday market closed balanced, but overnight, after PPI, looks bullish, still moving within previous range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for current session:

A) If market moves above YHOD 7614 with bullish internals/delta, buy towards GAP 7622 magnet HVE 7633 and PBTs 7656-7670 magnets.

B) If market moves below YHOD 7614 with bearish internals/delta, sell towards YVAH 7597 and GAP 7589 YVAL-VAR 7573 both magnets.

Note: If market opens above value and it begins to trade within value, VAR bearish setup comes in play.

Market Movers

10:00 Fed Chair Warsh Testimony
10:30 EIA Crude Oil Inventories
11:00 Trump Attends Policy Meeting
13:00 Fed's Cook Speaks
14:00 Fed's Beige Book
15:15 Trump Attends Summit

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