Welcome 2024

Outlook 01/02: U.S. stock futures trade lower Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as interest rates rebounded slightly and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023 that saw the S&P 500 rally 24%. The stock market finished 2023 with a bang, as the SP500 climbed for nine weeks in a row to end the year, notching its best weekly win streak since 2004. Risk assets enjoyed a big relief rally as the economy remained resilient and inflation cooled, while the Federal Reserve signaled an end to rate hikes and forecasted rate cuts later this year. 

/ESH24 (MAR 2024): YVAH 4823 YPOC 4815 YVAL 4803 GAP 4813.50

/ES Plan: Last session of 2023 market closed balanced, but first overnight of 2024 looks bearish, moving below previous value/range, so these're the opening and initial balance options for today:

A) If market moves above HVE 4792 with bullish internals, buy towards YVAL 4803 GAP 4813 and YVAH 4823.

B) If market moves below HVE 4792 with bearish internals, sell towards GAP 4746 and HVEs 4724-4709-4667.

Note: Overnight inventory is 100% bearish. The expected action is a counter-auction; failure to see the counter-auction would be an indication of potential trend day. Market opens below value and if it begins to trade within value, VAR comes into play.

Market Movers

9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending 

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