Showing posts with label Private. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Private. Show all posts

TOS screen

-Platform: Thinkorswim by Charles Schwab
-Dashboard: 3min RTH chart+Tape+Internal



-ETH Daily Plan: 1day 15min 24 hr full chart (YVAH-YPOC-YVAL)
-ETH Big Picture: 5y 1w Composite 24 hr chart (HVEs and GAPs)



-Trading Idea: Volume (Tape) / Profile (Dpb) / Trend (VWAP)
-Profile Setups: Bullish 'p' / Bearish 'b' / Balanced 'D'
-Trigger Alerts: ES Tape Reading / SP500 Internals

TOS parameters





Balance Target



Most important to understand is what symmetry represents in the auction process. In a trending market, symmetry suggests solid trade facilitated by confidence and a certain order. If it is a trend day up, trade is being facilitated for buyers; a trend day down, for sellers.

In a balanced market, symmetry depicts an agreement of value, at least for the short-term, between buyers and sellers. Inversely, a lack of symmetry reveals low confidence and hesitancy in auction process.

When we see an area of the profile or a specific anomaly that doesn’t contribute to the symmetry of the profile, we can call it an imbalanced market. That imbalance and lack of symmetry have higher odds of being revisited or repaired when price gets to a Balance Target. Keep in mind that not all volume profile anomalies represent a valid imbalance. Imbalanced shapes need bullish or bearish delta volume correlation.

For example, the poor high in the first chart above didn’t have symmetry, on the following picture, the symmetry has been “repaired” when a Projected Balance Target (PBT) was hit.

To find a Balance Target we have to define which is the last most accepted level (HVN). Prominent HVNs have better chance than double or multiple distributions. Then we take that value and project the completion of symmetrical shaped bell curve to get the Balance Target.

Imbalanced shapes need bullish or bearish delta volume correlation. The projected target must be inside the expected range for the day.

As day traders we always are looking for divergences between price and value (inefficiency), so our first goal every day is to find value. Think in terms of where you believe value will be at the end of the day. Trading is not a rocket science, it's the art to find early clues about the perception of market value before the others players.

The Balance Target is something dynamic and gives us some clues about market bias. Do not use this as a rigid, systematic rule. Context is key. Keep in mind that not all profile anomalies are valid imbalances. 


Trading Process

Trade pure price action using the Auction Market Theory. Try to identify opportunities using the Auction Process. Try to use non-parameter based indicators (Volume Profile and Market Internals). Remember, the best indicator that anyone can have is "screen time". Watching every day, how the market reacts, breathe, and moves. Most people don't have discipline to sit there and just watch the action. Be humble, unbiased, unemotional, and stay focused during your 'screen time'. 

Follow this Auction Process, using Volume Profile, VWAP and Order Flow:

1 Watch yesterday/overnight auction and most likely Opening Type.
2 Define the bull/bear line or Line in the Sand (LIS) (Trading Plan).
3 Define magnet targets that could be attractors: GAPs-PBTs-VAR. 
4 Wait for NYSE opening bell and let CVD plus ADSPD suggest bias.
5 Follow VWAP slope (rising-falling) to confirm potential TREND. 
6 Define volume PROFILE, if 'b' 'p'  imbalance or 'D-B' balance.
7 Lean on VAH-VAL on 'D', or VWAP-POC-1SD on 'p/b' shapes.
8 Use Tape Reading, Bookmap or Tickstrike to refine entries.
9 Exits at key magnet targets or end of TIME sequence.
10 Don't take trades without a magnet destination.

Consider an additional variable of the trading puzzle, 'TIME' (Timing). Usually, every half hour the big money starts a new sequence. Take advantage of that impulse. Most profitable half hour sequences are: First Reversal (10AM), IB Close (10:30) and the Last Half Hour (3:30PM). Avoid low volume sequences. Use 30m sequences to start a position and despite of any shake every quarter, try to hold it until half hour ends. 

These are the instraday time (ET) parameters for a 'normal' day, if the usual signals are ignored we will be facing a potential trending session.